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Sources of land-use projections, by region.

No large-scale forest parcelization projections were located.

Land Base Change

Approach

Studies

Projected Amount in U.S.

Deforestation

Econometric and mathematical optimization

Alig and Healy 1987, Alig and others 2004, FASOM (Alig and others 2002) Alig and Plantinga 2004

More than 50 million acres deforested by 2050, mostly for developed uses

Afforestation

Econometric and mathematical optimization

Lee and others 1992, Kline and others 2002, FASOM (Alig and others 1998, 2002), Alig and others 2003, Alig and Plantinga 2004

About 20 million acres converted from agriculture to forest by 2050 (FASOM)

Forest fragmentation

Econometric

Wear and others 2004

South projected to lose about two million acres of interior forest by 2020

Structure additions to forests

Statistical

Stein and others 2005

44 million acres of private forest with substantial increase in housing density by 2030

Urban forest changes

Statistical

Nowak and Walton 2005

29 million acres of forest to be urbanized by 2050

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