Supply of Forest Biomas

Authored By: C. Mayfield, J. Gan

Among various forest biomass supply sources, logging residues are probably one of the most economical sources that have not been used to a nationally or regionally significant extent in the U.S. Some 40 million dry tons of logging residues can be recovered annually and sustainably in the U. S. Approximately 50% of these recoverable residues are located in the South. Their long-term supply would be relatively stable for the South and the nation as a whole, whereas slight variations would exist across regions.

Though forest biomass resources in the South are promising, production costs, competing uses of forest resources, and environmental concerns may influence biomass supply. In addition, large buyers of forest biomass, by and large, have not emerged region-wide. Yet, this situation could change as bioenergy markets emerge. For information on local buyers, please refer to Southern Region Extension Forestry.

Information of feedstock supply such as sources, quantity, and spatial distribution/concentration is essential to bioenergy development. This section describes:

 

Encyclopedia ID: p1160

Factors Affecting Supply

Authored By: C. Mayfield, J. Gan

The South is endowed with rich forest resources and favorable physiographic conditions for biomass production. Though the availability of forest biomass is promising, its actual supply will be affected by an array of factors including the availability of forest resources, recovery limitations imposed by accessibility and  environmental concerns, and economic considerations. Forest resources, accessibility, and environmental concerns are discussed elsewhere in this encyclopedia.

Economic factors affecting the supply of forest biomass include production costs, prices of biomass and its substitutes, competing uses of forest resources, and policy, among others. First, technologies for forest production, biomass harvest and transport, and energy conversion will dictate the production costs of forest biomass and bioenergy. Thus, research and development will have an important role to play in forest biomass and bioenergy development. The costs will also vary with scale of operation, biomass spatial density, terrain conditions, average stem diamater, and transport distance, among other things. The most cost-effective production of biomass for energy occurs when it is produced simultaneously with other higher valued forest products (sawlogs, pulping chips).

Second, there also must be a demand for (buyers of) forest biomass in local markets, which interacts with the supply to determine the market price. Though there are some local buyers in limited locations currently, large buyers have not emerged region-wide. Potential buyers include independent developers, utility companies, biorefineries, larger-scale users of biomass for space heating and chilling, and the producers of other bio-based products in the future.

Third, prices of other types of energy such as fossil fuels will have an influence on the supply of forest biomass. Increases in the price of oil or natural gas will favor bioenergy. Forest bioenergy will also face competition with other renewable energy sources such as agricultural crops and crop residues, solar, wind, and hyro energy, among others. 

Fourth, competing or complementary uses of forest resources for pulpwood, timber, and ecological services will also interact with the supply of forest biomass for energy. Recent adjustments in the forest products industry, particularly in the pulp and paper sector may present an opportunity for using small-diameter trees for bioenergy. Yet, forest bioenergy is unlikely to compete with lumber and wood products industry demand for large-diameter trees, because of the low relative value of energy feedstocks. Production of forest biomass for energy, for example, thinning over-stocked stands, may enhance the production of high quality logs and reduce fire risk whereas there is some concern about the potential loss of soil productivity resulting from excessive removals of biomass. Demand for ecological services such as biodiversity may have a negative or positive impact on the supply of biomass from forests (Schaberg and others 2005).

Finally, policies pertaining to energy, forest management and utilization, environmental protection, and land use, as well as assistance and incentive programs to forest landowners and bioenergy producers and consumers will also affect the supply of forest biomass. Some of these policies include carbon emission taxes, the renewable portfolio standard, etc. These factors combined will determine the profitability of producing forest biomass and bioenergy, a key determinant for developing and sustaining a forest biomass and bioenergy industry.

Literature Cited
 

Encyclopedia ID: p1177

Sources and Quantity of Supply

Authored By: C. Mayfield, J. Gan

The primary production areas and manufacturing facilities of the forest sector provide many different sources of forest biomass that can be utilized for bioenergy and bio-based products. These sources include logging residues, mill residues, thinnings (traditional forest management and fuel treatments), stands damaged by natural disturbances (fire, windstorm, pest outbreaks, etc.), energy plantations, stands degraded by poor logging practices, and urban wood wastes. The quantity of forest biomass is usually quantified in two ways, the amount of available biomass and the amount of recoverable biomass. For the purpose of this discussion, biomass supply means the quantity of recoverable biomass unless otherwise specified.

Logging residues constitute one of the largest sources of forest biomass that have not been utilized in the United States. Logging residues - the unused portions of trees cut or killed by logging and left in the woods (Helms 1998) - consist of tops, branches, and downed dead and cull trees. Logging residues amount to 19% (in volume) of total annual removals from the US forest inventory. Based on the 2002 Forest Inventory Analysis (FIA) data (Smith and others 2004), there are approximately 60 million dry tons of logging residues annually available at harvest sites in the U. S. Taking into account the recovery limitations imposed by accessibility and loss during procurement, several studies (Walsh and others 2000; Perlack and others 2005; Gan and Smith 2006) consistently reveal that some 40 million dry tons of logging residues can be recovered annually in the U. S., over 90% of which are from privately owned lands.

Another source of forest biomass is fuel treatment thinnings. Increasing threats of forest fires in recent years have brought attention to the growing problem of hazardous fuel buildup in the forests. The National Fire Plan of 2000 and the Healthy Forest Restoration Act of 2003 were designed to address hazardous fuels reduction and increased utilization of the material for beneficial purposes. Approximately 8.4 billion dry tons of treatable biomass have been identified nationwide, while only a fraction of this biomass is considered available. Considering accessibility, economic feasibility, and recoverability greatly reduces its supply to about 60 million dry tons per year. This amount would come from both public and private lands with some 60% from private lands (Perlack and others 2005). In addition to fuel treatments, thinnings for the purpose of timber production generate biomass as well. Yet, there is no reliable estimate of this potential biomass supply.

Biomass from the trees damaged by natural disasters/disturbances can also be used to produce bioenergy and bio-based products. The natural disturbances that occur most often in the southern U.S. include hurricanes, tornados, wildfires, and pest and disease outbreaks. In 1989, Hurricane Hugo damaged 2.4 billion dry tons of timber (Haymond and others 1996). In 2005, Hurricanes Katrina and Rita damaged over 2.5 billion dry tons of timber along the Gulf Coast (USDA Forest Service 2005; Texas Forest Service 2005). The amount of biomass recoverable from these hurricane-damaged forests, though not accurately estimated, should be quite significant because restoring the damaged forests tends to generate more residues than regular timber harvesting. In the South, the southern pine beetle (Dendroctonus frontalis Zimmermann) also causes significant damage to pine forests. Coulson and others (2005) estimated that on average 1.36 million tons of biomass were killed by the pest annually in eleven southern states. About half of this amount was not salvaged and could be used for bioenergy. Whereas the quantity of biomass generated by natural disturbances is quite large, it varies tremendously over time and space. Such variations may hinder its utilization.

A significant supply of woody biomass can also come from energy plantations--short rotation woody crops (SRWC)--such as willows and poplars. The estimates of biomass supply from energy plantations vary tremendously with different estimation methods and assumptions on land availability, demand for grains and fiber, and biomass yield, among other things. According to Perlack and others (2005), about 5 million dry tons of biomass from SRWC plantations could be available for bioenergy production annually in the U.S. A study by Alig and others (2000) predicted that SRWC plantations would not become significant until 2040 in the South. The availability of smaller trees for pulp fiber and projected large investments in southern softwood production reduced the attractiveness of SRWC in the region. However, Walsh and others (2000) estimated that 188 million dry tons of biomass could be supplied from energy plantations at a delivered price of $50 per dry ton. Obviously, further studies are needed in this area to provide a consensus estimate. The amount shown in the figure entitled "Forest Biomass Resources in the United States" is based on the more conservative estimate by Perlack and others (2005).

Mill residues are one of the most readily available sources of forest biomass. Mill residues come from three primary sources including primary wood processing mills, secondary wood processing mills, and pulp and paper mills. This biomass source is extremely desirable for use in bioenergy and bio-based products applications. It is clean, uniform, concentrated, low in moisture, and close to utilization facilities, thus requiring minimum further processing efforts and representing a cost-effective source of forest biomass for energy. Because of these desirable qualities, most (about 97%) of the primary wood processing mill residues are currently being utilized (Perlack and others 2005). Thus, we do not anticipate that there would be additional, significant amounts of mill residues available for new bioenergy production.

Finally, urban residues include wood and yard waste and construction and demolition debris. Construction scraps are usually very high quality biomass whereas demolition materials are typically contaminated unless highly processed. It is generally perceived that there is about 20% wood in the urban waste stream. There are very limited data on the availability of urban residues. According to Perlack and others (2005), a total of 28 million dry tons could possibly be collected from urban sources. Yet, urban residues may face competing uses such as mulch, and the quality of demolition debris may hinder their utilization.

Literature Cited
 

Encyclopedia ID: p1180

Location

Authored By: C. Mayfield, J. Gan

Because of high biomass transportation costs, the location and spatial distribution of forest biomass play an important role in its utilization. Biomass in the areas with large supplies and high spatial concentration would be more economical to use than that in other areas with limited supply and low concentration. The supply of biomass is not evenly distributed geographically.

The largest concentration of logging residues is found in the Southern United States. According to Gan and Smith (2006) approximately half (19.24 million dry tons) of the nations recoverable logging residues are located in the South. Three of the top five supply states for logging residues are located in the South. The map to the right shows the geographic distribution of recoverable logging residues in the United States. Among the 13 Southern states, Alabama, Mississippi, and Georgia lead the way with an annual supply of over 2 million dry tons, followed by North Carolina, Arkansas, Texas, and Louisiana (Table 1).

The need for fuel treatment thinnings exists across the country, while the biomass generated from fuel treatments may vary from region to region due to regional differences in fire risk, vegetation types, forest area and conditions, and socio-demographic factors such as landowner composition and associated forest ownership objectives. Schmidt and others (2002) placed forests into three condition classes: 1=fire regime in historical range, 2=moderately altered fire regime, and 3=significantly altered fire regime. Class 2 and 3 forests will need future restorative treatments to alleviate the intensity and spread of fires, thus potentially generating more biomass from the treatment on a per acre basis. More class 2 and 3 forests are located in the West, Northeast, and North Central states than in the South (below).

Hence, on a per acre basis, biomass generated from fuel treatments in the South might not be as high as in other regions.

At this time, short rotation woody crops (SRWC) do not play a large role in the supply of forest biomass in the U. S. Gan (1990) reported that SRWC would not become competitive with crops in terms of land use unless decision-makers place a high priority on carbon emission reduction and wildlife habitat protection. The establishment of SRWC is most likely to be concentrated in the eastern United States, particularly in the South and Cornbelt regions. Alig and others (2000) also projected that there would be a larger number of suitable acres in the South and the Cornbelt than in other regions (Table 2). This table suggests the geographic distribution of potential SRWC establishments in the country.

Literature Cited
 

Encyclopedia ID: p1178

Table 2. Geographic Distribution of Potential SRWC

Authored By:
RegionAcres (1,000) acres
Pacific Northwest1,274
Lake States33,910
Corn Belt85,040
Southeast14,022
South Central36,816
 

Encyclopedia ID: p1182

Uncertainty and Long-Term Supply

Authored By: C. Mayfield, J. Gan

A long-term stable supply of biomass is critical to its industrial utilization. The future availability of logging residues will depend on continued future timber harvests and the ratio of residues to timber removals. According to the 2002 Forest and Rangeland Renewable Resources Planning Act (RPA) assessment (Haynes 2003), the projected timber harvests in the U. S. would generally increase during the next 50 years while regional shifts and small harvest reductions in the short run will be likely. The ratio of residues to timber removals may decrease in the future as technological advances enable us to procure and utilize smaller-size trees for manufacturing traditional forest products. Consequently, the total supply of logging residues in the U.S. would be relatively stable with a slight increase over the next 50 years. The total supply is projected to increase by 5% by 2020 and some 12% by 2050.

Yet, different areas of the country will be affected in different ways. While increases in logging residues are expected in the South Central, Southeast, and North Central regions, decreases are likely in the Pacific Southwest, Pacific Northwest, Great Plains, and Intermountain states. In the Northeast, the long-term supply of logging residues is projected to increase by 2020 after a dip in 2010 largely because of increased harvests of hardwoods (Gan and Smith 2006). In summary, the nations total supply of logging residues is predicted to remain sustainable over the next 50 years, in spite of some regional differences.

If trees are harvested for bioenergy, pulpwood, and sawlogs, competing or complementary uses of forest resources among these products may exist. A recent study using a dynamic multisector and multiregion model suggests that bioenergy would compete with traditional forest products in the use of forest resources in the short term (before 2030), but they would complement each other in the long term as more lands would be used for forest production that would increase the supply of both timber and feedstock. The short-term effect of bioenergy production on timber output would be moderate (<5% reduction in timber output) under current market and policy conditions associated with bioenergy and greenhouse gas emissions. Hence, given current limited demand for biomass feedstock and the potential expansion of forestland in the long term, both short- and long-term supply of forest biomass for energy production in the nation seems adequate.

Literature Cited
 

Encyclopedia ID: p1179